TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR V ARSENAL Betting Tips (Premier League Apr 14):
Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal is the big live derby game from the English Premier League this round of midweek football fixtures as well as the standout betting fixture and there's no better game for the Spurs players than Arsenal to try and get the disappointment of FA cup semi final defeat out of their systems....

Huge game in London as both Spurs and Arsenal still have everything to play for and I'd tip it as a game to produce goals. There have been some crackers in recent years in this fixture and in the goal line betting evens on the exchanges is definitely a standout price for the over 2.5. Both teams will be committed to attack and that means plenty of space in behind and chances for the likes of Defoe and Bendtner who both know where the back of the net is. With the fast and furious pace of the London derby and the likes of Bale and Walcott likely to feature and hit the bylines, over 11 corners @ 11/10 on bet365 looks a good value betting price.

Nic's Advised Value Bets: (Scale 1-5pts, % = win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: 3.75pts over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 (exchanges), 70-75%
Pick 2: 3pts over 11 corners @ 11/10 (Bet365), 65-70%
Pick 3: 1.75pts Jermaine Defoe anytime scorer @ 15/8 (Coral), 45%
Pick 4: 1.75pts Niclas Bendtner anytime scorer @ 15/8 (Coral), 45%

Benefit from any tips? Thank me with a beer :)

Bookmark and Share(Post these tips to your Facebook/Twitter etc)
Join our Facebook Betting group | follow us on Twitter

Winning Golf Betting Tips:

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.