SUNDERLAND V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR Betting Tips: (Premier League apr 3):
Sunderland v Spurs is an intriguing premier league fixture this weekend. Jermaine Defoe has boosted the Tottenham faithful by declaring himself fit and this would go some way towards justifying a betting price of 14/5 on a Sunderland win but IMO, it's still far too big for a steadily improving Sunderland side(if you exclude the trip to Anfield last week)....

The interesting thing about the Sunderland v Spurs game though is the amount of former Tottenham players that will potentially line up for the home side. Andy Reid is probably out but the likes of Steed Malbranque, Frazier Campbell and Darren Bent all felt a little hard done by at Spurs and especially Darrent Bent will be eager to prove to Harry Redknapp that he was wrong about him. This is the factor that IMO makes the 14/5 a fantastic value betting price and you can get 7/4 on the Betting Exchanges for the DNB. Big anytime goal scorer prices on kenwyne Jones (13/5 bet365) and Frazier Campbell (10/3 william hill) but it's Darrent Bent's agenda and current form that make him the 1 to watch for Sunderland.

£20 fixed odds and up to £200 free spread bets at Extrabet

Nic's Advised Value Bets:
Pick 1: 2.5pts Sunderland win (Draw no Bet) @ 7/4 (Exchanges)
Pick 2: 1.75pts Darren Bent anytime scorer @ 2/1 (Coral) - 50%, 0.75pts Darren Bent to score a brace @ 13/1 (paddypower)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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