RACING SANTANDER V REAL MADRID Betting Tips (La Liga apr 5):
Real Madrid will look to go back to the top of the La Liga table tonight as they head to an out of form Racing Santander but there doesn't look to be any value in any of the betting markets for me, except for a couple of outsiders in the anytime goal scorer market....

All eyes will be on Sergio Canales tonight( assuming he starts for Racing Santander) as the new Spanish wonderkid who exploded onto the scene, scoring 2 braces in his first few La Liga football games, has already been pinched by Real Madrid. He will spend next year at Racing and then head to Madrid and he's a good value betting tip to hit the net tonight @ 5/1 (Skybet), as he looks to show his future team what he can do. For the away side, Rafael Van Der Vaart (again if he starts) looks the outstanding value in this market. He's been on top of his game recently and an excellent finisher.

Nic's Advised Value Bets:

REMEMBER: Creating a Betfair Exchange account is a must for any potentially successful bettor. Challenge other punter's views instead of odds compilers/ bookmakers and get much better value betting odds.

Note:Neither are definite starters so make sure you check the line ups before placing bets
Pick 1: 1.5pts Rafael Van Der Vaart anytime goal scorer @ 3/1 (Exchanges) - 45%
Pick 2: 1pt Canales anytime scorer @ 5/1 (Skybet) - 40%, 0.5pts Canales brace @ 45/1 (paddypower)

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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