FOOTBALL BETTING: MAN UTD V BAYERN MUNICH BETTING TIPS

MANCHESTER UTD V BAYERN MUNICH Betting Tips (Champions league Apr 7):
Man UTD V Bayern is another intriguing champions league clash as was the Barca game last night in regard to injuries. Wayne Rooney is out and a MASSIVE loss to Man UTD and that alone, you would think, make Bayern good value betting tips @ odds of 4/1 tonight but Bayern have problems of their own....

Doubts over the fitness of Van Buyten, Robben and Gomez although all 3 are in the squad and all likely to feature. It's a pretty unpredictable and even game in terms of who will progress but it's a game that will likely produce goals. The threat of Bayern on the counter with the pace of the likes of Ribery, Olic, Robben and the returning (from suspension) Schweinsteiger make them a serious threat and the defensive frailties of their own make me fancy Dimitar Berbatov for Man UTD strongly in the anytime goalscorer betting market tonight.

Nic's Advised Value Bets:
Pick 1 : 3.25pts Both teams to score @ 1.7 (Betfair) - 70%
Pick 2: 2pts Dimitar Berbatov anytime goal scorer @ 7/5 (Betfair) - 60-65% VOID - Non starter
Pick 3: 1pt Dimitar Berbatov Man of the match @ 9/2 (Betfred) - 25 -30% VOID - Non starter

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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