NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

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FOOTBALL BETTING: INTER MILAN V BARCELONA BETTING TIPS

INTER MILAN V BARCELONA Betting Tips (Champions League Apr 20):
With the long journey Barcelona have made by road to Milan, a lot of people see it as a bit of a disadvantage as they take on an Inter side no doubt highly motivated by Jose Mourinho and I'd be in the same boat. The Barca players must be feeling a bit lethargic and any slack play will be punished with the likes of Sneijder, Milito and the Barcelona old boy Samuel Eto ready to pounce....

The bookmakers see this as pretty confident away favourites but IMO, it's a game totally in the balance. It's a game with plenty of side stories to it such as Mourinho's relationship with Barcelona and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (who returned to action from the bench against Espanyol) and Eto facing their clubs of last year. Barcelona always give up chances and I fancy Inter Milan to create for Diego Milito tonight, while Messi is still obviously on fire for the away side. Don't be surprised to see a Mourinho inspired Inter Milan pull another one out of the bag though.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: Inter Milan win (Draw No Bet) @ 5/4 Betfair
Pick 2: Diego Milito anytime scorer @ 11/5 Betfair, 40%

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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