FOOTBALL BETTING: INTER MILAN V BARCELONA BETTING TIPS

INTER MILAN V BARCELONA Betting Tips (Champions League Apr 20):
With the long journey Barcelona have made by road to Milan, a lot of people see it as a bit of a disadvantage as they take on an Inter side no doubt highly motivated by Jose Mourinho and I'd be in the same boat. The Barca players must be feeling a bit lethargic and any slack play will be punished with the likes of Sneijder, Milito and the Barcelona old boy Samuel Eto ready to pounce....

The bookmakers see this as pretty confident away favourites but IMO, it's a game totally in the balance. It's a game with plenty of side stories to it such as Mourinho's relationship with Barcelona and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (who returned to action from the bench against Espanyol) and Eto facing their clubs of last year. Barcelona always give up chances and I fancy Inter Milan to create for Diego Milito tonight, while Messi is still obviously on fire for the away side. Don't be surprised to see a Mourinho inspired Inter Milan pull another one out of the bag though.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: Inter Milan win (Draw No Bet) @ 5/4 Betfair
Pick 2: Diego Milito anytime scorer @ 11/5 Betfair, 40%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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