BLACKBURN V MAN UTD Betting tips (Premier League Apr 11):
Man UTD get their title challenge back underway this afternoon with Wayne Rooney once again expected to be out (I can't take any team news from UTD and Ferguson seriously anymore) but in the likelihood that Berbatov steps in with 2 of Nani, Giggs and Valencia supporting on each side, 7/4 on Betfred seems good value on Berbatov firing them to victory....

He can feed off crosses from both flanks and use his aerial ability and technique to hurt Blackburn. The corner handicap line is also tempting (-2) looking if the game pans out as mentioned. Decent price of 10/11 on some sportsbooks and worth a medium stakes bet.

Nic's Advised Value Bets: (Scale 1-5pts, % = win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: 3pts Man UTD corner handicap (-2) @ 10/11 (paddypower) - 65-70%
Pick 2: 2pts score/win double - Berbatov/UTD @ 7/4 (Betfred) 40%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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