BAYERN MUNICH V LYON Betting Tips (Champions League apr 22):
Bayern Munich (Tipped in antepost betting at 28/1 E/W as good value for the CL) go into this Champions league semi final encounter off the back of the back of a 7-0 mauling of Hannover to add to the confidence they have of knocking Man UTD out of the competition. Lyon are another team to suffer from the volcanic ash, making an 8 hour journey over 2 days...

Lyon will no doubt be playing to keep it relatively tight especially with the likes of Robben(off the back of a hattrick) in such flying form. Expect a lot of the action to be in Lyon's half and final third with the pace of Ribery, Robben and Olic causing trouble in wide areas and in behind as the germans look to establish a first leg lead.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
Remember: A Betfair Exchange betting account is needed to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Bayern Munich win @ 1.75 Betfair, 70-75%
Pick 2: Arjen Robben anytime scorer @ 7/4 Betfair, 45%
Pick 3: Bayern Munich corner handicap (-2) @ 1/1 (Stanjames), 65%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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