Share EVERTON V FULHAM BETTING TIPS (Premier League Apr 25):
Fulham will travel to Everton with nothing more on their minds than their big Europa League semi in midweek and will possibly rest some key players. Bobby Zamora will miss out for Fulham and Erik Nevland is tipped to start. I fancy Everton pretty strongly in the betting here...

Fulham old boy Saha looks good value to fire the home side to victory if he continues from the start. He will be keen to impress against his former side and as mentioned, Fulham's minds will be elsewhere. Everton have been looking great in attack in recent weeks and with an outside chance of beating Mersyside rivals Liverpool to 7th place, expect a bit of an onslaught in the Fulham third. Plenty of action should produce plenty of corners and 6/5 with a -3 handicap for Everton looks good value in the corner markets. Don't rule out Fulham altogether though. If Nevland starts, his finishing ability and the space Everton will leave at the back makes 5/1 a silly price for him to grab a goal on Paddypower. If it's a small bet on a real outsider you're after, PP go 75/1 on the Nevland brace!

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

Remember: A Betfair Exchange betting account is needed to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Everton win -1 handicap @ 6/5 (Stanjames), 50-55%
Pick 2: Score/win double - Saha/Everton @ 15/8 (Betfred), 45-50% (NON STARTER)
Pick 3: Erik Nevland anytime scorer @ 5/1 (Paddypower), 25-30% | Nevland Brace @ 75/1 (Paddypower)
Pick 4: Everton Corner handicap (-3) @ 6/5 (Skybet), 55%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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