BARCELONA V INTER BETTING TIPS

Share BARCELONA V INTER MILAN BETTING TIPS (Champions League apr 28):
Not much value about in the betting for the massive Barcelona v Inter Milan Champions league 2nd leg tonight but you can always rely on the Betting Exchanges to offer up some good value bets. It's the anytime goal scorer tips that I'll be focusing on for this 1.....

3-1 may seem like a big advantage for Inter to take to the Nou Camp but in my mind, this tie is very much in the balance. Barcelona are free scoring at home and even if Inter cancel out Barca's away goal, 3 goals is easily achievable for Barca. You can get 6/4 on the exchanges on Barca progressing which represents a good value bet but as I said, I'll focus on the anytime goal scorer betting markets for tonight's tips. Zlatan is on offer at 6/4 on Betfair whilst Expekt (The best of the sportsbooks in this market tonight) offer only 13/10. Zlatan will be eager to to show what he can do against his former club and Barca will always create for him. At the other end, 3/1 is way too big a price on Diego Milito scoring as he did in the 1st leg. Inter will be set up for quick counters in this 1 and against a loose Barca defense, they WILL create chances and some good ones at that. This tie may hinge on whether Milito can put them away and why couldn't he, he's on fire.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Zlatan Ibrahimovic anytime goal scorer @ 6/4 (Betfair, 55%

Pick 2: Diego milito anytime goal scorer @ 3.95 (Betfair), 40%

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.



What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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