ATLETICO MADRID V LIVERPOOL Betting Tips (Europa League Apr 22):
I did mention on Facebook that Atletico Madrid looked good value betting tips to beat a Liverpool team that must be drained after their journey but with Sergio Aguero out of the clash, 6/4 is actually a little bit skinny for me, even if Atletico Madrid old boy Fernando Torres will also miss out for Liverpool...
So I'd advise the win-draw-win to be left alone altogether and with 2 of the main goal threats out of the game there's no value on the over 2.5 goals either. Diego Forlan has a good scoring record against Liverpool but he's had a poor season by his standards so there's only 1 standout value bet tip for me in tonight's Europa league game and that's Torres' understudy David Ngog in the goal scoring markets. I presume he's got to start(although I'd advise to make sure before betting as Benitez is very strange). Atletico Madrid's defense can be shambolic at the best of times, especially against pace when they push forward at home and Ngog who is in decent form may look to make a name for himself on the big stage.
Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
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Pick 1: David Ngog anytime goal scorer @ 3.85 Betfair, 45% | David Ngog to score a brace @ 17/1 (Paddypower), David Ngog to hit a hat-trick @ 80/1 (general)
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