Weekend La Liga Soccer Value Betting

Some standout value prices this weekend for my Spanish La Liga soccer betting picks, most notably in the last game of the weekend where Zaragoza can be had at best price 5/2 to hold Barcelona. But a better bet is that for some reason Stanjames go 6/1 on Humberto Suazo hitting the back of the net for the home side (It's probably a mistake), in what's the definition of a "value bet"! Another standout La Liga soccer fixture is Sevilla travelling to a side seriously struggling for goals in Espanyol, where 13/10 is far too big a price to overlook.

-2.75u Sevilla win vs Espanyol @ 13/10 (Betfair) Well overpriced for a team looking to bounce back from midweek champions league disappointment against a team really struggling in front of goal - 50-55%

-1.5u Humberto (Chupete) Suazo anytime goal scorer vs Barcelona @ 6/1 (Stanjames) double the prcie of their nearest competitor, price won't last long, mistake or no mistake. Barca always give away chances and suazo is scoring a lot of goals - 30% (VOID - Bet/Price amended)
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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