Value Betting Soccer Picks March 6-8

Sparse fixture list to choose from this Premier League betting weekend with the F.A cup setting precedence. Monday nights game where Liverpool take on Wigan at the D.W stadium looks appealing as the reds should be back to full strength. Torres should get chances in that one if he plays from the start. 7/4 the score/win double.

In the F.A Cup betting, Pompey look a decent price at just under evens (DNB) against a Birmingham side that have lost a little form compared to early season. The Pompey players know the league is pretty much out the window, they will be relegated with the 9 point deduction hanging over their heads and a lot of them know they are in the shop window and the thoughts of some silverware are very much welcomed. Spurs @ 6/4 to beat Fulham and Jermaine Defoe @ 2/1 to score look 2 decent F.A cup value bets at the Cottage.

A weekend of goals looks on the cards in La Liga with some tasty looking fixtures in the offing. Real Madrid who are scoring for fun at the moment take on Sevilla, Racing travel to Valencia and Zaragoza play hosts to Atletico in fixtures that look very exciting indeed goals wise. Elsewhere, Barca will travel to in form Almeria in a tough test and the Islanders Mallorca will look to get their fabulous home record back on track against Sporting Gijon..... stay tuned for free Premier league/La Liga/FA cup Soccer Picks

FREE value soccer picks


Creating a Betting Exchange account is strongly recommended to make the most out of tips on Nic's Picks, Sign up now and receive a £25 Free Bet

Selection: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Bet: Real Madrid win (-1) handicap

Info: Real Madrid scoring for fun at the moment and flying in confidence. Sevilla with problems both in attack and defence. There should be a lot of goals in this 1, mainly for the home side

Confidence: 65% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 6/5 Book: Bet365

Selection: Pompey vs Birmingham

Bet: Portsmouth corner handicap (-1)

Info: the DNB looks appealing as well as mentioned but the pace in the Portsmouth attack makes the corner handicap a better looking bet.

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 1-1 Book: general

Selection: Zaragoza vs Atletico

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: 2 attacking teams with vulnerable defenses and both have very much in form strikers with Suazo(Chupete) and Forlan both going in to this 1 on the back of braces

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 4-5 Book: Betfair Exchange

Selection: Valencia vs Santander

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: Racing more dangerous on the counter and Valencia more vulnerable at home when they must dictate the play. Villa on fire and the pace in the Racing attack could cause Valencia problems.

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 4-5 Book: Betfair Exchange

Selection: Wigan vs LFC

Bet: Score/win double - Torres/LFC

Info: First start for Torres an a long time against Blackburn and he sealed his return with a goal. With the Way Martinez sets his Wigan side out, there should be plenty of space in behind for Torres to run into

Confidence:55-60% Stake: 2.75pts Odds: 7/4 Book: Bluesquare

-1.25pts Torres Brace @ 11/2 (William Hill)

Benefit from these tips? Why not buy me a beer! :)

Bookmark and Share
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting



Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship