Rhys Davies Grabs Nic's Picks A 33/1 Winner

Posted by Bryan N

Rhys Davies Grabs Nic's Picks A 33/1 Winner

33/1 pick Rhys Davies, noted as one to watch this year on the european tour golf circuit won this weekend's Trophe Hassan II Morocco Open as he hit 4 superb rounds and looked as calm as a multiple tour winner whilst doing so. Louis Oosthuizen was the man he went head to head with, after the South African who was also looking for his maiden tour win, held a 2 stroke advantage after 3 rounds. The Welshman Davies played a near flawless final 18 (-7) to finish on a -25 total, 2 shots ahead of Oosthuizen. 3 of 4 other E/W picks finished in the top 10.

Harrington and Senden both in the running in America in the Transitions Championship.

Benefit from this tip? Thank me with a beer :)

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2025/26) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips