Free Premier League Football Value Betting Tips (March 23-24)

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(u= units(pts) scale 1-5, % = win expection of value bets)

WESTHAM vs WOLVES Betting Tip:
- 1.5u Kevin Doyle anytime scorer @ 13/5 (Coral) Usually plenty of set pieces at Upton Park and Doyle can take advantage of his aerial ability as well as his pace in behind on the short pitch, good value betting price - 40%

MAN CITY vs EVERTON Betting Tip:
- 3u both teams to score @ 4/5 (B/sq) Probably the match of the midweek premier league football fixtures. Both teams looking very potent in attack at the moment with a lot of pace and flair up top. There could be plenty of goals in this 1, especially if Saha starts - 70%

- 3u both teams to score @ 10/11 (Bwin) Doubts over Richard Dunne's fitness. Both Darren Bent and John Carew are on fire and Jones could return - 70%

Spanish Football La Liga Value Betting:

- 3u goal line over 3.0 @ 1.8 (Ladbrokes) Messi and Barcelona have been on fire in recent weeks and after Osasuna shipped 4 at the weekend, more goals should be on the cards at Camp Nou

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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