NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Golf Betting: Trophée Hassan II Picks

Pro-am format, not much course form to go on but we will be avoiding the short hitters in this week's Trophée Hassan II golf betting as the main course(Red) measures over 7,300 yards long with little run out on fairways due to the soft conditions. Bigger hitters will be looking to take advantage of the 5 par 5's.

Expert Trophée Hassan II Value picks:

IMPORTANT: Recommended sportsbooks for golf betting with Nic's Picks: Ladbrokes.com - generally better value prices for the market leaders. Extrabet - The only sportsbook to pay out in full for place ties. Free bets at both.

(u = stakes in units(pts)

- 1.25u E/W Francesco Molinari @ 16/1 (Ladbrokes) Wouldn't normally back the bookie's favourite but 16/1 represents value as whatever way I look at it, I can't see Molinari NOT featuring.

- 1u E/W Peter Lawrie @ 35/1 (Ladbrokes) Lawrie is just sneaking into form this season and really enjoys events like this one.

- 1u E/W Ryhs Davies @ 33/1 (general) On my shortlist this year as one to watch and played superbly in Malaysia 2 weeks ago. Hits it a long way and a win is surely around the corner.

- 1u E/W Danny Willett @ 25/1 (Ladbrokes) Willett falls into the same bracket as Davies in terms of a young twenty something with the golfing world at his feet

- 0.75u E/W Mark Brown @ 125/1 (general) Brown is a streaky player who can be great or terrible and there are signs he's getting back towards the former after a superb final round in Malaysia. Pro am format should suit.

Benefit from any tips? Thank me with a beer :)


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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.