Golf Betting: Puerto Rico Open Picks

Puerto Rico Open Value Betting Picks:

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(figures = stakes in units(pts)

- 1 E/W Rory Sabbitini @ 25/1 (Stanjames) Sabbitini is a class above most of this field and if he's any way on this week, will be the man to beat

- 1 E/W Brett Quigley @ 50/1 (Stanjames) Good performance last week apart from a costly last round. 2nd here last year.

- 1 E/W John Merrick at 40/1 (general) Again, a much better player than most and featured on the leaderboard here last 2 years running

- 0.75 E/W Tom Pernice JR. at 50/1 (general) In good form this year and coming off the back of a top 10 on the Champions Tour

- 0.75 E/W Alex Cjeka @ 50/1 ( Played well here last year and has been looking good the last 2 weeks. Very good GIR stats at the Honda and that's needed at Trump international

-0.5 E/W Kevin Streelman @ 60/1 (Bet365) If his putter is hot at this week's Puerto Rico Open, that price could look a little silly come sunday

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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