NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

GOLF BETTING: HONDA CLASSIC PICKS

Next stop on the PGA golf tour is the Honda Classic where Robert Allenby leads the betting and rightly so given his record here but anyone who touches him @ 16's in a field of this quality needs their head checking regardless of how he does! The Honda Classic field provides arguably the strongest this year so far on the PGA Tour with some of Europe's finest lining up. Padraig Harraington is on offer at 28/1 on StanJames, almost double Allenby's price and the Dubliner will be my headline golf value pick for this year's Honda Classic betting.

Harraington is a previous winner of this tournament, albeit on a different course and it takes him a while to get into gear but he's had enough practise now. Another that stands out is Ernie Els who has recaptured some form of old and on a course that will separate the cream from the rest, he may be worth backing @ 25/1.

The course itself is a par 70 of medium length(7,158 yards) and ranked 9th/54 in difficulty on the PGA tour last year. Generous enough landing areas but they must be hit as it's hard to access the pin positions if you drive into the penal rough. Par 3 performance is a key stat this week as the intimidating "Bear Trap" lies in wait down the stretch and that brings my attention to first timer, little Timmy Clark..... stay tuned for expert Honda Classic golf value betting picks

Honda Classic Value Picks



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-1pt E/W Padraig Harraington @ 28/1 (Stan James) Previous winner of the Honda on a different course, should be getting on top of his schedule and loves tough courses

-1pt E/W Ernie Els @ 25/1 (general) Again, showing signs of old and look to the best players to be the men left standing come Sunday on this difficult track

-2.75pts Tim clark Top 10 finish @ 4/1 (Betfair Exchange) Par 3 performance stats as well as accuracy catch the eye here. Greens are large so his usual chipping problems may be avoided if he plays his normal game.

-1.75pts Angel Cabrera Top 10 finish @ 7/1 (Betfair Exchange) Again, saves his best performances for the more difficult courses. Cabrera is a big time player and well overpriced for this event.

-1.5pts Jeev Milkha Singh Top 20 finish @ 5/1 (paddypower) Feeling good about life in general, good scrambler and off the back of a decent WGC. Could be a dark horse for this event.

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.