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FOOTBALL VALUE BETS: PREMIER LEAGUE BETTING TIPS

The English Premier League title race really heats up now as we hit the last quarter of the football season. It's been a long time since the Premier League title race was so closely contested and every single game is now like a final. Not only is the title race so closely contested but the race for the Champions League, Europe in general and the battle to avoid relegation are all going to go to the wire.

The Premier League fixture list kicks off at 3 o' clock Saturday as there's no early kick off this weekend. Birmingham vs Arsenal and Chelsea vs Aston Villa will be 2 of the featured matches during the afternoon. Niclas Bendtner looks decent value to continue his goal scoring run and fire the Arsenal to another 3 points vs Birmingham while Chelsea will have to be wary of the on fire John Carew who is over priced in the anytime goal scorer market @ best betting price of 7/2. Wolves vs Everton is an intriguing fixture as both teams are in tremendous form but odds against on an Everton away win looks good value as Saha is back and should start.

Elsewhere in the English Premier League, the 5:30 kick off sees current league leaders Man UTD vs Bolton at the Reebok, where Bolton will have to somehow stop a Wayne Rooney in the best form of his life. A great value betting opportunity in Saturday's games is Tottenham vs Portsmouth where Frederic Piquionne can be had @ 9/2 to score (probably bigger when price comes out on the betting exchanges) and a whopping 70/1 for the brace on Paddypower!

Good betting price of almost evens in Sunday's premier league fixture on the over 2.5 goals markets in the Liverpool vs sunderland game. Stay tuned for expert premier league value betting tips....

Thoughts on Nic's Picks or have any soccer predictions of your own for this weekend's matches? Why not discuss them in our Facebook Betting group | Twitter

Free Premier League Tips (March 27-28)
(u= units(pts) scale 1-5, % = win expection of value bets)

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WOLVES VS EVERTON Betting Tip :
- 3.25u Everton win @ 11/10 (general) Everton in flying form at the moment and looked at their very best against City in midweek. Wolves usually struggle for goals despite scoring 3 at Upton Park and I think Wolves will need 2 goals to get anything at all against Everton - 65-70%

TOTTENHAM VS PORTSMOUTH Betting Tip:
-1u Frederic Piquionne anytime goal scorer @ 9/2 (paddypower) Tottenham always give up chances and the Portsmouth players are playing without tension and are basically in the shop window. Piquionne tends to score in batches - 40%, 0.5u Piquionne brace @ 70/1 (paddypower)

LIVERPOOL VS SUNDERLAND Betting Tip :
- 3.25u over 2.5 goals @ 17/20 (exchanges) Liverpool have found the scoring touch of late with the likes of Babel and Aquilani playing a bigger part and are always prone to conceeding. Watch out For Jones if he starts for Sunderland as he will want to impress his possible summer buyers - 70%

MANCHESTER CITY VS WIGAN Betting Tip:
-3u Manchester City corner handicap (-3) @ 5/6 (Skybet) It will be tough for Wigan to get around the back of Manchester City in this game and with Bellamy and Tevez likely to continue in the sides of a three pronged attack, expect them to hit the bylines and force corners - 70%

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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