COULD TOTTI’S RETURN SLAY INTER’S TITLE HOPES?

Source for betting preview: PuntersRealm.com

Two crucial games dominate Serie A’s fixture list this weekend as the title race enters its final phase. League leaders Inter travel to Roma to take on the third place team, who are in a great run of form and who will welcome back the talismanic Francesco Totti for the game. Despite their Champion’s League heroics at Stamford Bridge, Inter have been rocky in Serie A of late and manager Jose Mourinho will know that this is equally as stern a test as his side faced against his former club Chelsea. Football betting fans should earmark this clash as one that offers good value, particularly for the home side.

Another important clash sees Milan host relegation threatened Lazio at the San Siro. Leonardo will be hoping his injury hit side can take three points and perhaps go top of the table, if Inter falter in the capital. Milan certainly won’t offer great value as a single bet, especially given Lazio’s poor form in recent times, but the Rossoneri will be desperate to bounce back after the weekend’s somewhat disappointing home draw with Napoli.

ROMA V INTER MILAN : Roma @ 7/4 (Victor Chandler) Inter’s league form has been very patchy of late and notwithstanding their performance at Stamford Bridge, this looks a big ask for Jose’s men, especially against a side currently in third who have title ambitions of their own and who will also welcome back Francesco Totti for this key clash.

AC MILAN V LAZIO : AC Milan @ 4/9 (Bet 365) The home side are too strong, and Lazio too weak, to even consider the draw at 4/1 or a Lazio win at 13/2, even with injuries causing problems at Milan. Get your value by doubling up Milan with Roma to complete a miserable weekend for Inter fans.

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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