Source of betting preview:

Wednesday night Portsmouth host Chelsea in a game that the London club simply must win. A draw at Blackburn has seen them lose pole position in the title race and nothing less than three points from their trip to Fratton Park will be enough to ease the pressure on manager Carlo Ancelotti. Portsmouth, now deducted nine points, are almost certainly relegated and will play without any of the fear and nerves that has dogged them in the past. This will be another game that will be much closer than a lot of sports betting fans are expecting.

On the same night sees Manchester City host Everton in a game that looks to offer good value for the football fan. A quick trawl through the list of betting exchanges reveals a really open market with excellent value to be had on all outcomes of this game. However City’s home record is untarnished by defeat and it is hard to back against them. That said Everton have been vastly improved of late and they deservedly beat City at Goodison Park earlier in the season. It promises to be an interesting clash between two very well matched sides that could be closer than many people anticipate.

MANCHESTER CITY V EVERTON : Draw at 7/2 (Betfair). City will preserve their unbeaten home record but I cannot see them defeating a resurgent Everton side who have, in recent weeks, been looking much more like the side that finished fourth in the Premier League a few years back. A hard fought game with few chances and I fancy the Toffeemen to emerge from the game with a point.

PORTSMOUTH V CHELSEA : Draw at 11/2 (Betfair). Another ex-Chelsea manager could come back to haunt his former team at Fratton Park. Chelsea have looked less than impressive on their travels of late and despite Portsmouth being bottom, the home side are looking a better side under Avram Grant, especially at Fratton Park. The markets say an easy Chelsea win, but I think Pompey, under no pressure and with little to play for, will snatch a point from the game as Chelsea once again wilt under the pressure.

£20 fixed odds and up to £200 free spread bets at Extrabet

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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