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FREE VALUE BETTING SOCCER PICKS Feb 23-25

Strange set up this year in the Champions League with half of the round of last 16 matches being played last week and the rest being played this midweek. Tomorrow, holders Barcelona kick back into Champions league action, fresh off the back of a mauling of Santander and their opponents are fresh off delivering a weekend drubbing themselves, so the value may be in betting the goal line in this one, with good value betting opportunity in backing either of the VFB strikers as anytime goalscorer picks at approx 3/1 on the Betting Exchanges. Cacau BTW is fresh off a hattrick! Elsewhere in the Champions League betting, there doesn't seem to be any other standout soccer picks this week with Inter vs chelsea and CSKA vs Sevilla looking too close to call, although an anytime goalscorer bet on the young Serbian star for CSKA, Milos Krasic, looks a cracking value bet @ best betting price of 4/1.

In the Europa league, we have the reverse of last week's soccer fixtures but this week, it's likely to be more open as teams are forced to go on the offensive. That could leave the door open for a counter attacking lesson for Unirea, vs LFC, especially as Torres is likely to feature at some stage and LFC look overpriced at 5/6. There should be goals is games elsewhere in the Europa League as teams like Atletico and Villarreal will be forced to push forward to overturn first leg disadvantages(in terms of away goals). Another standout is Hertha, who will have to come out against a Benfica side who could seriously punish them if they leave too much space. 13/10 on the handicap is good value on Benfica...... stay tuned for expert Champions league soccer picks / europa league predictions

FREE expert value free soccer picks

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Selection: VFB vs Barcelona

Bet: Cacau anytime scorer

Info: Hit a hattrick at the weekend and Barca with some defensive problems. More unlikely than likely but good value in the price.

Confidence: 40% Stake: 1.5pts Odds: 3/1 Book: Exchanges

Selection: VFB vs Barcelona

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: Both teams fresh off big wins at the weekend. Cacau of VFB scored a hattrick and Pogrebnyak is looking good also. We know Barca only play 1 way and that's going forward.

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 5/6 Book: (coral)

Selection: Unirea vs LFC

Bet: LFC win

Info: With Torres likely to play a part and Unirea needing a win, it's perfectly set up for Liverpool to sting them on the counter. 5/6 is too big a price.

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 5/6 Book: Exchanges

Selection: CSKA vs Sevilla

Bet: Dzagoev anytime scorer (VOID - Out Injured)

Info: I did mention Milos Krasic but he's a midfielder and I can't believe that they have Dzagoev priced up even bigger to get on the scoresheet.

Confidence: 45% Stake:2pts Odds: 9/2 Book: (Ladbrokes)

-1pt Dzagoev to score a brace @ 50/1 (paddypower)(VOID - Out Injured)

Selection: Double

Bet: Benfica win vs Hertha/ Juventus win vs Ajax

Info: Both away sides have to overturn first leg disadvantages and home sides can hit them on the break. Both home sides much the superior teams.

Confidence: 60% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 7/5 Book: (general)

Selection: Wolfsburg vs Villarreal

Bet: Goal line Over 2.75

Info: Villarreal's last 2 games have produced no less than 12 goals and after drawing 2-2 at home in the first leg, they must go for the win in wolfsburg.

Confidence: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 1/1 Book: (bet365)

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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