Full round of Barclay's English Premier League soccer fixtures this midweek with some massive clashes coming up. It's Arsenal vs Liverpool at the Emirates and Villa vs Man UTD at Villa Park where UTD look good value @ evens to take the 3 points. Can Villa stop an on fire Wayne Rooney? Their Manchester rivals take on Bolton in what looks an easy home win and table topping Chelsea have a tough match away to a much improved Everton who @ 9/2 could be a good value bet on the handicap.

English Premier League Value Betting Soccer Picks:

-3pts Man City win (-1) vs Bolton @ 13/10 (Bet365) City will be all guns blazing to get the loss against Hull out of their system. Good value betting price.

-3.5pts Man city corner handicap (-3) vs Bolton @ 5/6(skybet) An injury for Bellamy means a likely front 3 for City of Petrov, Tevez and Adebayor. With Bolton sitting back and Petrov firing in the crosses and Tevez firing in the shots, that handicap should be quite easily cancelled out.

-3.75pts Man UTD win vs Villa @ 1/1 (general) Villa boring the life out of the English Premier League at the moment and have failed to score in a lot of their recent games. Evens is a very appealing price for the on fire UTD and Rooney to continue their form.

-3.25pts Wolves vs Spurs over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 ( Exchanges ) Defoe on fire, Doyle in form and Spurs likely to be without Ledley King.

Copa Del Rey semi final Value Betting pick

-2pts Racing Santander win Half/Fulltime vs Atletico @ 3/1(general) Atletico will go to play through the motions after a big first leg win. Racing have nothing to lose and will fly out of the traps all guns blazing. Their manager still hasn't given up hope of progressing. Decent value bet.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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