Midweek English Premier League Value Betting

Hull vs Chelsea free soccer picks:

-3.5pts Hull vs (Chelsea -1) @ 5/6 (general) Drogba and Kalou back in contention after the Afcon and an easy win prediction looks on the cards for chelsea. 5/6 decent value.

-1pt E/W John Terry first goalscorer vs Hull @ 20/1 (bet365) Shut the crowd up with a goal against Burnley and with a lot of set pieces likely tonight, a good value betting opportunity to get on the goal trail again.

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Fulham vs Portsmouth value betting soccer picks

-1pt E/W Danny Webber first goalscorer vs Fulham @ 12/1 (bet365) good value pick @ 12/1 to hit the net first after a showing against city where he looked threatening. Fulham are playing dreadfully at the moment and 5/1 on an away win also looks extremely tempting. (VOID - Non starter)

-2pts Portsmouth win (asian handicap +0.25) vs Fulham @ 8/5 (bet365) As mentioned, Pompey looked decent against City last time out wheras Fulham are in a terrible run of form and looking toothless right now

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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