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La Liga / FA Cup Picks/Bundesliga Feb 13-14

I'm not a big fan of FA Cup weeks, not least because the English Premier League fixture list comes to a standstill but as usual the FA cup doesn't throw up much in terms of value betting. Feisty encounter down on the South Coast with Pompey squaring up against rivals Southampton but I can't go near that match. There is 1 FA cup fixture that catches the eye and that's Reading vs WBA where there could be goals on the cards. If you're looking for upsets, there are plenty of potential banana skins in the offing but pricing looks to be pretty accurate so I'll leave it alone for the most part. Villa at 5/6 do look worth a bet though away to Crystal Palace. In La Liga, the fixture list looks pretty tight this weekend as well albeit the standout fixture - Atletico vs Barca, promises goals as it does every year but the bookmaker's prices would reflect this so again, I'll leave the goal index betting alone in that 1. A score/away win double with Ibra though looks a good value betting opportunity. Gijon at home to Valencia on Saturday night looks to be the value bet of the La Liga fixture weekend @ evens on the Exchanges on the over 2.5 goals betting. In the Bundesliga, flying Leverkusen(Tipped antepost as the biggest rivals to Bayern Munich this year) take on a woefully all over the place Wolfsburg where stanjames offer a great value corner bet @ 11/8 over 10.5 and surely Kiessling will get on the scoresheet...... stay tuned for weekend FA cup betting/ free soccer picks......

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Selection: Bayern L vs Wolfsburg

Bet: corners over 10.5

Info: Strange price and line for a game promising so much action in the final thirds. Probably won't last long.

Confidence: 75% Stake: 4.5 Odds: 11/8 Book: Stanjames

Selection: Bayern L vs Wolfsburg

Bet: Bayer L win Asian handicap (-0.75)

Info: Wolfsburg looking terrible at the moment. Leverkusen on fire.

Confidence: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 1.95 Book: Exchanges

Selection: Bayern L vs Wolfsburg

Bet: S. Kiessling anytime scorer

Info: On fire this year and Wolfsburg have the worst defense in the league

Confidence: 65% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 13/10 Book: Bwin

-1pt Kiessling brace @ 7/1 (William Hill)

Selection: Atletico vs Barcelona

Bet: Score win double - Ibra/Barca

Info: Barca will create many chances against the Atletico defense. Atletico have improved of late but facing the champions may be a step too far

Confidence: 65% Stake: 2pts Odds: 17/10 Book: William Hill

Selection: Reading vs WBA

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: Likely to be an open game. Plenty of firepower on show.

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 1/1 Book: Exchanges

Selection: Gijon vs Valencia

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: Last time out, Gijon came out and had a go at Barcelona rather than sitting back. Valencia will love this but are also not as stable at the back as Barca.

Confidence: 70-75% Stake: 4.25pts Odds: 1/1 Book: Exchanges

Selection: Racing vs Malaga

Bet: Racing win

Info: In the middle of a decent run at the minute and difference in this game may be the firepower up top. Malaga struggle for goals while Sanatander can choose any 2 from 3 good finishers in Canales, Tchite and Xisco.

Confidence: 65% Stake: 3pts Odds: 11/10 Book: Exchanges

Selection: Palace vs villa

Bet: Villa win

Info: Palace have lost a few players in the window and have a few off field problems. Villa solid as a rock this year and desperate for a trophy so no motivation issues.

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 5/6 Book: Exchanges

Keep up to date with real time live scoring for all soccer fixtures with our Live Scoring feature. Maybe you have some fancies of you own? Why not share them in our new Forum or use the chat box on the Live scoring page.



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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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