King Fisher To Reign In Dubai? European Tour golf Betting heads to the desert in Dubai this week for the Dubai Desert Classic, a course a certain Ross Fisher just loves. Top golf picks for the bookmakers are the usual suspects but Ross Fisher @ 28/1 is a great value betting pick on a course that sets up exactly for his game. Drive it straight and long here and you'll get a lot of birdie chances. Miss the average width fairways and big numbers can appear on your card at the Dubai Desert Classic ...

The PGA Tour Heads to Riviera Country Club for the Northern Trust Open where 1 man dominates the golf betting. That man is Phil Mickelson who has won here the past 2 years running but top golf pick this week in terms of value betting will be another man who's gone back to back on a course that suits experienced, patient and intelligent golfers. That man is Mike Weir. There looks to be plenty of value in this week's Northern Trust Open, with players like Davis Love being priced up near the 100 mark..... stay tuned for expert Northern Trust Open Picks / Expert Dubai Desert classic value betting picks

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Northern Trust Value Picks
-1pt E/W Mike Weir @ 35/1(Boylesports) As mentioned, Weir won back to back tournaments at Riviera in 03 and 04 in what was then known as the Nissan Open. He finished 6th is his first start of the 2010 season 2 weeks ago and has the perfect game for this course. He obviously knows how to win when he gets in position.

-0.75pts E/W Charles Howell @ 50/1 (ladbrokes) In fine form this season and a winner here before. If he continues playing like this, his next win isn't far away.

-2pts Luke Donald top 10 finish @ 13/2 (stanjames) 5th and 6th last 2 years here and shook off some rustiness last week.

-1.5pts Davis Love top 20 finish @ 16/5(skybet) Not much course form to go on but it's the type of course he loves and he had a top 10 in his last start this season

-1pt Jeff Klauk top 20 finish @ 15/2(skybet) Klauk is the definition of a 'plotter' and could find himself in the mix here, staying away from trouble and picking off birdies

Dubai Desert Classic Value Picks
-1pt E/W Ross Fisher @ 28/1 (sporting bet) Great record on this course, shook off some rust last week and conditions are set to suit him big time. Played with tiger here on this course before and Tiger was very impressed.

-0.75pts E/W Graeme McDowell @50/1 (general) Starting to find his form again and has played well here before. Type of course that should suit and if the wind blows, he'll have an advantage.

-0.75pts E/W Alexander Noren @ 66/1 (ladbrokes) Stepped up a gear after his maiden win last year and if he drives the ball well this week, he can make birdies in bunches. Big value and good place chance if not more.

To make the most out of tips on Nic's Picks, it's strongly recommended you set yourself up with an exchange account to get the best value prices.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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