Scroll for course fit and progressive form models & info

FREE SOCCER PICKS FEB 27-28

Real Hiding On The Cards For Tenerife
La Liga and the English Premier League kick back into gear this weekend with a few standout value betting free soccer picks as per usual. Real Madrid travel to Tenerife on the back of a 6-2 drubbing of Villarreal and Higuain, Ronaldo and co should kick start the soccer betting weekend in style with a comfortable win. Stan James go 5/6 on the handicap (-1).

Elsewhere, Barca have what is nowhere near as easy a game as the bookies make out, against an in form Malaga side that will be looking to take advantage of any hangover from Barca's european adventures. The La Liga soccer betting fixture of the weekend is undoubtedly Atletico vs Valencia where an almost back to his goal scoring best Diego forlan will be looking to fire Atletico to another 3 points in a game that regularly produces goals and Sevilla look a good betting price @ 4/6 to beat an out of sorts Bilbao. Premier League free soccer picks this weekend will include backing the under 2.5 goals in the Chelsea vs Man city game at odds against and Wolves look a decent price not to be beaten away to a woefully out of form Bolton. Interesting fixture at White Heart Lane as Everton travel to spurs but I think I'll be taking more of a watching brief on that 1...... stay tuned for English Premier League / La Liga Free Soccer Picks ...

FREE expert value free soccer picks

Creating a Betting Exchange account is strongly recommended to make the most out of tips on Nic's Picks, Sign up now and receive a £25 Free Bet



Selection: Tenerife vs Real Madrid (added @ 20:31 fri 26 feb)

Bet: Madrid (-1) handicap

Info: Real much more solid this year and a bigger threat on the counter. Looks a stroll in the park and very much over priced against the La Liga minnows.

Confidence: 75-80%% Stake: 4.5pts Odds: 5/6 Book: (Stanjames)

Selection: Chelsea vs Man City

Bet: Under 2.5 goals

Info: Man City are another of my favourite betting teams that have been destroyed in that respect by another defensive manager. Don't be surprised if they go to the Bridge and make it as boring a game as you've seen in a while! Anything odds against on that is value

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3.25pts Odds: 11/10 Book: (Ladbrokes)

MASSIVE up to £250 Signup Bonus @ TitanBet


Selection: Bolton vs Wolves

Bet: Wolves (+1) handicap

Info: Bolton have lost 6 on the spin and although Klasnic is likely to play, I still fancy a solid looking Wolves outfit to pick up at least a point

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3pts Odds: 5/6 Book: (general)

Selection: Spurs vs Everton

Bet: Everton win (Draw no Bet)

Info: I did say I'd just watch this 1 but looking at the teams news; Defoe, Crouch, King, Bentley and Lennon are all either out or doubtful

Confidence: 50% Stake: 2.75pts Odds: 7/4 Book: Exchanges

Selection: Spurs vs Everton

Bet: Saha anytime scorer (VOID - Non runner)

Info: With no ledley King, an on form Saha will get chances against this defense. Potentially a lot of set pieces in this game too.

Confidence: 50% Stake: 1.75pts Odds: 5/2 Book: (Boylesports)

-0.75pts saha brace @ 17/1 (paddypower) (VOID - Non runner)

Selection: Spurs vs Everton

Bet: Pienaar anytime scorer

Info: Unlikely but I just can't believe these prices and that's all I'll say about a guy who's recently scored a brace at the emirates!

Confidence: low Stake: 1pt Odds: 17/2 Book: (Paddypower)

-0.5pts Pienaar brace @ 100/1 (paddypower)

Selection: Sevilla vs Bilbao

Bet: Score/win double - Fabiano/Sevilla (VOID - still out injured)

Info: Carrying an injury but if he starts, it's good value against an out of form Bilbao side. Kanoute shouls come in after the red card of Negredo last week

Confidence: 50%Stake: 2pts Odds: 7/4 Book: (Bluesquare)

Selection: Atletico vs Valencia

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: A fixture which usually produces goals. Likely to be without Aguero in this 1 but Villa and forlan have hit form

Confidence: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 4/5 Book: Exchanges

Selection: Racing vs Almeria

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: Decent value with the firepower on show.

Confidence: 50%Stake: 3pts Odds: 6/5 Book: (Skybet)

Benefit from these tips? Why not buy me a beer! :)


Bookmark and Share

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.