PGA Tour Golf Betting: Bob Hope Classic Picks

Just In time The PGA Tour golf season is in full flow now and no. 3 on the schedule is the Bob Hope Classic Pro-Am which is played across 4 courses. Top of the Bob Hope Classic betting for Nic's Value Picks will be Justin Rose who finished last week in style, catching form just in time for a tournament he enjoys. Rose has course form and has the type of game to do well here. The Bob Hope classic will be played over 4 courses on 5 days and is an annual birdie fest so golf betting tips this week for the Bob hope will be taking that into account. La Quinta, Silver Rock, PGA West(Niclaus course) and PGA West(Palmer course) will be where the pros and celebs will be teeing it up and the final round(pros only) will be played at the Palmer course. 3 of the 4 courses play at about 7,000 yards but the big hitters can overpower them, so accuracy is not a premium ..... Stay tuned for expert Bob Hope Classic expert golf value betting tips / picks.......

As mentioned, these courses are an absolute shootout where aggressive players who attack pins will thrive. News coming in that the weather will be quite wet, making the scoring conditions even easier.

Nic's Picks man to beat - Justin rose

Expert Bob Hope Value Picks

-1pt E/W Justin Rose @ 25/1(Betfred) Rose has a very high ball flight and that's perfect for this week. 3rd in this event in his last start and finished last week on fire.

-1pt E/W John Merrick @ 70/1 (Bet365) 2nd here last year and I remember he looked very much in control of what he was doing. Only a fantastic performance from Perez stopped him winning. Good early season form.

-1pt E/W Chad Campbell @ 25/1 (general)Another who has the advantage of competitive action already this year and game looked in good shape in Hawaii

Sleeper Watch

-0.5pts E/W Rickie Fowler @ 50/1(general) Bad performance last week but that wasn't the rookie's type of course. With birdies being the objective, this is more his style. His aggressive play could see him right up there this week.
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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