Big Prices In The Shake Up

People that been following my golf tips and strategy on Nic's Picks will know that I'm a firm believer in the "lesser tournaments" having the real value in them and the fact that they are much better betting opportunities. This of course stands to reason and is something I'll do a write up on further down the line.

Well this week, no matter what happens in the final stages, really backs up this theory, with no less than 6 golf tournaments going on to close out the season around the world. None of those 6 golf tournaments are on the main PGA and European Tour and many of this week's picks are in contention.

66/1 pick Simon Yates in the Kings Cup currently sits tied for 2nd, 2 shots off the lead and has been getting stronger as the tournament goes on with rounds of 71,69 and 66. 25/1 pick Nick o' Hern sits solo 3rd in Australia after 3 rounds albeit my pre tournament favourite Adam Scott and Stuart Appleby are quite a bit ahead, leaving a place in that event, a good result. 40/1 pick Joe Ogilvie lies 2 shot off the lead in the PGA qualifying school after 3 rounds, Brendan Jones (20/1) is still in contention with 1 round to go in the Nippon Series lying 5 strokes behind break away leader(who was on Nic's Picks shortlist) Kyung Tae-Kim and at the halfway point of the Nedbank and Chevron, 3 of 4 value picks(none considered by the bookies to be real challengers) still remain in contention. Ironically enough the leader in the Chevron is 40/1 Bookie's massive underdog, Y.E Yang.

Before the excellent win by the Molinari brothers last week in the WGC cup, things have been going pear shaped over the final stages /rounds for Nic' Picks golf tips of late(which has resulted in 2 months in the minus), but fingers crossed that win last week has turned things around and it will be a good week.

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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