World Cup Playoffs Second Leg Betting

My big value tip for an upset in the World Cup playoffs betting was Bosnia to send Portugal packing and the first playoff leg in Portugal went more or less as I expected it to; chances at both ends with a Portugal team lacking in finishing ability failing to capitalise, but unfortunately, Bosnia who hit the woodwork 3 times(twice in a pulsating stoppage time) failed to get that away goal, making life extremely difficult now to make the world cup in South Africa but I'd still fancy them to win the home leg and Dezeko to score/ Bosnia to win is a fantastic value bet @ 9/2

Selection: Bosnia vs Portugal

Bet: Edin Dzeko to score/Bosnia to win

Info: First leg could have gone either way and with Portugal lacking finishing ability and Bosnia possibly needing to win by 2 clear goals, this bet screams top value

Confidence: 40-45% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 9/2 Book: - Bluesq

Selection: Slovenia vs Russia

Bet: Slovenia Asian handicap (+0.25)

Info: Slovenia looked dangerous in the first leg and with Russia having a slim lead to hang on to, I don't see them winning here

Confidence: 65% Stake: 3.25pts Odds: 17/20 Book: Bet365

Selection: Slovenia vs Russia

Bet: Yuri Zhirkov anytime scorer

Info: Looked a threat in the first leg and takes a mean free kick - way overpriced @ 10/1

Confidence: low Stake: 1pt Odds: 10/1 Book: PaddyPower

Selection: Ukraine vs Greece

Bet: Ukraine win

Info: Greece a poor team who can only defend. Cold weather in Ukraine could see them bow out with a whimper

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 17/20 Book: Bluesq

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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