World Cup Playoffs Second Leg Betting

My big value tip for an upset in the World Cup playoffs betting was Bosnia to send Portugal packing and the first playoff leg in Portugal went more or less as I expected it to; chances at both ends with a Portugal team lacking in finishing ability failing to capitalise, but unfortunately, Bosnia who hit the woodwork 3 times(twice in a pulsating stoppage time) failed to get that away goal, making life extremely difficult now to make the world cup in South Africa but I'd still fancy them to win the home leg and Dezeko to score/ Bosnia to win is a fantastic value bet @ 9/2


Selection: Bosnia vs Portugal

Bet: Edin Dzeko to score/Bosnia to win

Info: First leg could have gone either way and with Portugal lacking finishing ability and Bosnia possibly needing to win by 2 clear goals, this bet screams top value

Confidence: 40-45% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 9/2 Book: - Bluesq



Selection: Slovenia vs Russia

Bet: Slovenia Asian handicap (+0.25)

Info: Slovenia looked dangerous in the first leg and with Russia having a slim lead to hang on to, I don't see them winning here

Confidence: 65% Stake: 3.25pts Odds: 17/20 Book: Bet365

Selection: Slovenia vs Russia

Bet: Yuri Zhirkov anytime scorer

Info: Looked a threat in the first leg and takes a mean free kick - way overpriced @ 10/1

Confidence: low Stake: 1pt Odds: 10/1 Book: PaddyPower


Selection: Ukraine vs Greece

Bet: Ukraine win

Info: Greece a poor team who can only defend. Cold weather in Ukraine could see them bow out with a whimper

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 17/20 Book: Bluesq
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
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  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship