MOLINARI BROTHERS STRIKE @ 16/1

"Big value underdogs" was the headline and so they proved to be as for the second week in a row, a Molinari got the better of Robert Karlsson, but this time it was for the BENEFIT of Nic's Picks who tipped them at 16's for good priced outsiders to lift the WGC World Cup of golf in china. A front 9 in which they struggled to convert their chances on sunday's final round made it look like it was going to be yet another near miss for Nic's Picks but this time the tide turned and the short stick was heated up on the back 9 to pip Sweden's Karlsson and Stenson and almost wire-to-wire leaders Ireland(McDowell and McIlroy) to a fantastic victory and bring another decent golf week to Nic's Picks after a bit of a lull.
Image from worldcup.pgatour.com

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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