Grip it n' rip it The PGA Tour's last stop this week in the form of the Children Miracle Network Classic, previously known as the Funai classic. As the golf betting season draws to a close, some players have 1 last chance to retain their cards this week at the Childrens Miracle Network and prepare yourself for a birdie shootout to earn those rights. Last year Davis love took down the Children's Miracle golf event with a whopping -25 under par finishing Walt Disney's Magnolia course with 2 64's. "Bombing" is the name of the game in this event and this week's golf picks and tips will be focused mainly on length from the tee and birdie making... click link for Childrens Miracle Network classic preview/picks

The Children's Miracle will be played on 2 courses at the Walt Disney resort - the Magnolia course and the Palm course. You couldn't get 2 dissimilar courses. 3 rounds will be played on the Magnolia which is over 7,500 yards long with pretty generous fairways and sizeable undulating greens, making distance off the tee and accurate approach play the premium. The Palm course plays under 7,000 yards and the premium is on accuracy with many holes being tree lined. Both courses have many water hazards.

FREE expert Children's Miracle VALUE Picks:
-0.75pts E/W Robert Garrigus @ 50/1 (Ladbrokes) The man with the smallest short stick in the world is anything but short off the tee averaging in excess of 312 yards and is just coming into form

-0.75pts E/W Steve Marino @ 33/1 (Ladbrokes) Horses for courses and the Magnolia coudn't be better suited to Marino's game. Marino makes more birdies than anyone on tour. VOID - Non Runner

-0.75pts E/W Bo Van Pelt @ 40/1(Ladbrokes) Bo collected Nic's Picks followers a sizeable payout earlier in the year with his win at the US Bank championship(tipped at 50/1) and being long off the tee, coming into form and no.1 in total birdies 2009, he looks a fantastic value pick this week @ 40's

-0.75pts E/W DJ Trahan @ 40/1 ( StanJames) Undoubtedly the form man over the fall series on the whole, let's hope the birdie and eagle machine can wrap up with a victory in florida

Sleeper Watch
-2.5pts Greg Owen Top 20 finish @ 4/1 (Sky Bet) English man has hit form in the fall series and has the game for this event as his record would show - looking back at the tournament's history, he features regularly on the leaderboards

-2pts John Merrick @ 4/1 (Sky Bet) Strange season for big hitting Merrick who seems to be appearing from nowhere and then disappearing into the wilderness again. 2 top 10's in the majors and a decent tournament 2 weeks ago makes me take notice though

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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