European Tour Golf Q Schoool Final Stage Picks

Race To The Finish
It's that time of the year on the European golf tour scene when dreams are made or broken, with some players getting their card for the very first time and other more established golf names destined for another year in the doldrums. The European Tour golf Q School heads to the PGA de Cataluna, scene of a big win for Nic's Picks followers earlier in the year, where over 150 of Europe's golfers will battle it out for a spot in the top 30 and the right to play with full rights on the main golf tour next year and there are some top value picks to be had this week....

The tournament will be played over 6 rounds on 2 courses - The Tour course and the Stadium course. Both courses place emphasis on accuracy off the tee and distance control, the main reason Thomas Levet was tipped for potential success in Spain and it will be more of the same this week.

FREE expert golf VALUE Picks - European Tour Q School:

-0.75pts E/W Gary Murphy @ 55/1 (Sky Bet) Murphy has found some form recently with a decent finish in the JB Were Masters and a 4th place finish in Spain not too long ago and looking at his stats, his game could be suited to these courses

-0.75pts E/W Robert Dinwiddie @ 66/1 ( StanJames)Big price for a man with so much golfing talent. Not been in form of late but in this type of field, he's a great value bet

-0.75pts E/W Carlos Del Moral @ 33/1 (PaddyPower) Home Native has course form and will have the backing of the locals. Putter shouldn't be a problem this week with the greens expected to run at 10.5ish on the stimp

-0.75pts E/W Brend Wiesberger @ 80/1 (Sky Bet) One of the tour's up and coming young stars posted a top 10 in this event last year and is coming off the back of a 14th place in the JBWere Masters not long ago

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.