JT Shriners Hospitals For Children Open Betting

Now is the time for Tim
The PGA Tour fall series is back this week with the JT Shriners Hospitals For Children Open pro-am event and the field is relatively strong with the likes of Fuyrk and Kim out to grab another PGA Tour win but the man they'll all have to beat this week is the 'best player not to have won on the PGA Tour'. That man is Tim Clark who wrapped up his play in the Presidents cup last week by thrashing Zach Johnson..... Click Link for Shriners for children preview/picks
The TPC Summerlin course last year ranked 53/54 toughest course on tour with the event basically being a closest to the pin birdie shoot-out. It's of average length at around 7,250 yards so the bigger hitters don't necessarily have an advantage. Birdie makers and those who can go low and fire at pins are the ones to watch. A bit of personality also helps as some golfers can get impatient in pro-am events.

FREE expert Shriners Hospitals For Children VALUE picks:

-1.25pts E/W Tim Clark @ 25/1 (PaddyPower) Clark last week was firing in birdies from all over the place and can thrive on this course and with his bubbly personality, also has another edge this week.

-1.25pts E/W Anthony Kim @ 22/1 (PaddyPower) this course is made for Anthony Kim who has had a very disappointing season after such a promising 1 last year. If you want someone that fires at pins and makes birdies, there's not many more aggressive than kim and he will be looking to finish the season with a bang.

-0.75pts E/W Frederik Jacobsen @ 50/1 (Bet365) Underwnt some changes to his game earlier this year and has found form again in recent weeks. 1 of the best short game players on tour, on a course as easy as this from tee to green, it could be his time.

-0.75pts E/W D.J Trahan @ 125/1 (Bluesq) 1 who's gone totally under the bookie's radar this week. Finished 2 weeks ago really strongly, makes a lot of birdies, has a good record in this event and Nevada in general. Big, big price.

-0.75pts E/W Webb Simpson @ 100/1 (Ladbrokes) Ladbrokes have made a serious error with this price. Best you'll get elsewhere is 70's for a player long and relatively straight off the tee, one of the best putters on tour and the rookie could thrive in the more relaxed atmosphere this week

Sleeper Watch:
2pts Peter Lonard top 20 finish @ 5/1(Sky Bet)Lonard finished his last tournament with a -9 final round and will be raring to go. a fast start and he'll probably hang around
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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