Weekend International Football Picks

Last updated 16:45 Sept 9th 09

Selection: Brazil vs Chile

Bet: Chile win (+1) handicap

Info: Brazil may be suffering a hangover having already qualified on saturday night. In that match they also picked up a lot of yellows leading to key players being suspended.

Strength: 5/10 Stake: 1.5pts Odds: 13/8 Book: Boylesports

Selection: Wales vs Russia

Bet: Bellamy anytime scorer

Info: The Russians are generally loose and Bellamy can get in behind with his pace

Strength: 4.5/10 Stake: 1.25pts Odds: 3/1 Book:



Selection: Russia vs Liechenstein

Bet: Asian Handicap Russia (-3.5)

Info: I think it's common knowledge that Liechenstein will be 'parking the bus' in russia but there aren't many teams better equipped than russia to rumble this. With their fullbacks providing extra width, Arshavin in the hole and the likes of the big men Pogrebnyiak and Pavlyuchenko up top, I can see Russia destroying them.

Strength: 7.5/10 Stake: 4pts Odds: 1/1 Book:

Selection: Double

Bet: Poland win vs N.Ireland/Austria (-1) win vs Faroe Islands

Info: Fresh off a 10-0 hammering of san Marino the Polish will be full of confidence and should dispatch a weak N. Ireland team. Austria have looked decent of late and should get a few goals in their match

Strength: 6/10 Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 13/10 Book:
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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