Premiership/European Football Picks

Premier league, Spanish League and Bundesliga VALUE Picks:

Selection: Hull vs Birmingham

Bet: Hull corner handicap (-1)

Info: Hull will approach this game with the objective of getting the ball out wide to Steven Hunt to deliver croses for big Jan Vennegor. B'ham are the most defensive side in the premiership with McLeish liking his 1 man attack with a midfield full of defenders like Lee Carsley.

Strength: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 1-1 Book:

Selection: Hull vs Birmingham

Bet: Wincast - Vennegor to score/Hull win

Info: Birmingham with a blunt frontline and with the crosses likely to be fired in by Hull, Vennegor who excels in the air, could cause a lot of trouble

Strength: 35% Stake: 2pts Odds: 9-2 Book:

Selection: Man UTD vs Man City

Bet: Wincast - Rooney to score/UTD win

Info: Expect injury hit City to be put in their place at Old Trafford this weekend. No real finishers will be in the starting lineup for City with the likes of Adebayor, Santa Cruz and Robinho all out. A fired up Rooney to hit back after being subbed midweek.

Strength: 60-65% Stake: 2.75pts Odds: 2-1 Book:

Selection: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen

Bet: Asian goal line over 3.0 goals

Info: Bremen away from home usually means goals and especially when they go to somewhere like Leverkusen. Both teams banging them in for fun just now albeit Bayer L will be a bit light up front

Strength: 70% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 4-5 Book:

Selection: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen

Bet: Arturo Vidal anytime scorer

Info: As mentioned Bayer L. will be light up front which means a probable advanced role for Arturo Vidal who is more than capable of getting on the scoresheet

Strength: 40% Stake: 1.5pts Odds: 5-1 Book:

Selection: Real madrid vs Xerez

Bet: over 3.5 goals

Info: Ronaldo and company on fire at the moment and minnows Xerez will seriously struggle to keep the score down

Strength: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: Book: 5-6

Selection: Westham vs Liverpool

Bet: Westham to score from outside box

Info: Liverpool have been conceeding goals this year and Upton parks pitch dimensions allow for a lot of shots on goal. Players like Cole, Parker and Noble are all capable from long range

Strength: 25-30% Stake: 1.25pts Odds: 9-2 Book: (expekt)

Tags: Premiership, Bundesliga, La Liga, expert value picks
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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