Midweek Champions League Football Picks

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FREE Champions league football expert VALUE betting picks:

Selection: Arsenal vs Olympiakos

Bet: Arsenal win handicap (-1)

Info: With a likely trio of Eduardo, Arshavin and Van Persie up top and with Olympiakos still undergoing change under their new manager, this could be a romp.

Strength: 80% Stake: 4.25pts Odds: 8/11 Book: Hills

Selection: Arsenal vs Olympiakos

Bet: Score/win double: Arshavin/Arsenal

Info: See above and Arshavin has been flying this season on the pitch

Strength: 50% Stake: 2pts Odds: 7-4 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Rubin Kazan vs Inter

Bet: Inter win

Info: Inter under Mourinho are perfectly set up for games like this. Keep it tight at the back and punish the champions league first timers on the break. Eto to do the damage.

Strength: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 3-4 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Debrecen vs Lyon

Bet: corners over 10

Info: Lyon have averaged over 7 corners in their 3 away games in Ligue 1 this year and Debrecen's team has a lot of players who like long range shots which resulted in them clocking up 6 corners at Anfield

Strength: 70% Stake: 3.25pts Odds: 11/10 Book: Bet365

Selection: Rangers vs Sevilla

Bet: Score/win double: Fabiano/Sevilla

Info: Fresh off the back of a 4-0 away hammering of Athletic Bilbao and with a rested Luis Fabiano raring to go, Rangers could be in for a rude awakening

Strength: 50% Stake: 2pts Odds: 10/3 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Real Madrid vs Marseille

Bet: Real Madrid (-1) handicap

Info: Madrid have been banging in the goals this season and don't expect it to stop against a mediocre Marseille outfit

Strength: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 4-5 Book: StanJames

Selection: Bayern vs Juventus

Bet: Bayern corner handicap

Info: Juventus to sit deep and lacking any real pace up top to get out. Ribery and Robben working the flanks and getting the crosses in.

Strength: 70% Stake: 3.25pts Odds: 6/5 Book: Bet365

Tags: Expert champions league picks, champions league betting
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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