Deutsche Bank Championship Picks

After another near miss last week with Steve Stricker, where Stricker looked almost certain to score Nic's picks followers a 25/1 winner, it's onwards to Playoffs round 2 in the form of the Deutsche Bank Championships which once again will be held at the TPC Boston.

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The bigger hitters as mentioned will especially be looking forward to this par 71, 7207 yards long track originally designed by the great arnold Palmer. Why? It's generous fairways and usually not too penal rough, together with it's modest length make it appealing to those who like to attack courses. 16th in birdie average last year on the PGA Tour, the Deutsche Bank TPC Boston course is 1 where low numbers can be shot. Can't be too erratic off the tee though or they'll find themselves in the jungle or buried in one of the courses many deep bunkers.

FREE Deutsche Bank Championship picks:
(All picks in the without woods market)

As mentioned, there's no value in going for the top 5 or so favourites this week so that rules out the Likes of Harraington, Els, Stricker and Mickelson who are likely to feature.

-1pt E/W Dustin Johnson @ 50/1(paddypower)- Johnson is the longest hitter on tour together with Bubba watson and is fresh off the back of a -7 final round last week
Book:

-1pt E/W Nick Watney @ 50/1(coral)- Another big hitter who found some form last week, Watney can over power courses like this with his birdie making ability
Book:

-1pt E/W Retief Goosen @ 50/1(coral)
- Again a big hitter who can make birdies in abundance when the putter is on song. In some good form of late and well overpriced
Book:

-1pt E/W Jim Fuyrk @ 28/1 - Off the big hitter theme but he is longer than a lot think when he wants to be and if it wasn't for a 4 stroke penalty last week, he'd have been up there in the thick of it.
Book: Boylesports

Sleeper watch
Seriously flying under the radar this week although I don't know why is Frederik Jacobsen (100/1 - paddypower). He was right up there last week without putting well(which is his best attribute) and this week if the putter is on he can challenge for the win. John mallinger (125/1 on coral and bet365) is one of the biggest young talents on the PGA Tour and when he gets in contention he can stay there, proven by his top 10 stats this year. Decent week last week and ready to make a roar.

-2.5pts Frederik Jacobsen Top 20 Finish @ 3/1
Book: paddypower betting

-2.5pts John mallinger Top 2o finish @ 11/2
Book: paddypower betting

Tags: Deutche Bank Championship, Golf Picks, Expert Deutsche Bank Picks
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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