Carling Cup/ Spanish Football Picks

FREE expert VALUE Carling cup/ Primera La liga picks:

Selection: Atletico vs Almeria

Bet: Wincast - Forlan to score/Atletico to win

Info: Almeria lacking a cutting edge, Atletico will want to put a bad start to bed, forlan already in form this season.

Strength: 65-70% Stake: 3pts Odds: 7/5 Book:

Selection: Getafe vs Valencia

Bet: Asian goal line over 2.5/3.0 goals

Info: Small tight pitch, 2 open attacking teams. Valencia free scoring as is soldado for Getafe. Potential thriller.

Strength: 70-75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 8/7 Book:

Selection: Atletico vs Almeria

Bet: Maxi Rodriguez anytime scorer

Info: Fantastic finisher makes endless runs into the box from the flanks and against a weak team that will defend deep. Massive price.

Strength: 40% Stake: 1.75pts Odds: 4/1Book: paddypower betting

(Last updated 11:05 sept 23rd 09)

Selection: Notts Forest vs Blackburn

Bet: Notts Forest Asian handicap +0 + 0.5

Info: Big potential banana skin for out of form Rovers

Strength: 70-75% Stake: 3.5 Odds: 4/5 Book:

Selection: Arsenal vs WBA

Bet: Goal line over 2.5/3 goals

Info: 2 attacking teams both scoring for fun at the moment

Strength: 70-75% Stake: 3.5 Odds: 1.85 Book: (SBobet)

Selection: Leeds vs LFC

Bet: Andrey voronin anytime scorer VOID

Info: Looking at potential lineups, this match looks like it will offer up chances to both teams and as limited as Voronin is, he will put it away, especially against the lesser teams

Strength: 50% Stake: 2pts Odds: 21/10Book:

Selection: Villarreal vs Real madrid

Bet: Goal line over 3.0 goals

Info: Same old Real, great in attack but useless in defense and villarreal under their new manager have adopted a very attacking approach.Could be a goalfest.

Strength: 80% Stake: 4.5 Odds: 1.9 Book:

Selection: Preston vs Spurs

Bet: Preston asian handicap +0.5/+1

Info: Preston is always a tough place to go and win for the premiership teams and spurs will play a weakened team - draw a very likely result

Strength: 65-70% Stake: 3.5pts Odds: 21/20Book:

Selection: villarreal vs Real madrid

Bet: Guiseppi rossi anytime scorer

Info: As mentioned, Madrid will always offer up chances and fresh off his goal at the weekend Rossi will be hungry to pounce on any slip ups at the back

Strength: 40-45% Stake: 1.75ptsOdds: 3-1Book:

Tags: Carling cup, midweek football, expert football picks, Spanish football

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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