AUSTRIAN GOLF OPEN Betting Preview /Picks

Soren Hansen eyeing another win The golf quietens down a bit this week with a break before the final leg of the playoffs in America and with most of the European Tour big hitters deciding to give the Austrian Open a miss.

That leaves Soren Hansen as the standout player in the Austrian Open Field in terms of quality, with home favourite Marcus Brier also strongly fancied due to his local knowledge, course form and support. I'll be backing neither of course as I don't see any value there.

Nic's Value Picks man to beat: Soren Hansen
A cut above most other players in the field and desperate to put an end to his winless streak. Finish ahead of soren this week and you may well be holding the trophy

Austrian Open Course - La Fontana G.C
Playing at just over 7000 yards long, noone is at a particular advantage, except of course for the aforementioned Marcus Brier who lives only 45 minutes away and has had much success on it. With the Austrian open this year being played later in the season, the rough is expected to be up and the greens expected to be much firmer than usual so the premium will be on accuracy off the tee and play around the greens.

FREE Austrian Open Value Picks:
-1pt E/W Thomas Levet @ 25/1 - Thomas is just coming into form again and this is the type of course he loves.

-1pt E/W Brett Rumford @ 80/1 - 2 weeks ago at Crann Rumford fired a first round -9 but failed to push on from there. Brilliant around the greens and with wins under his belt, that's a monster of a price

-1pt E/W Nick Doherty @ 25/1 - As mentioned in last week's preview, Doherty reckons he's striking the ball as well as ever so with the rust cleared off his game(hopefully) after a 3 week break, and in this weak field, he could be challenging sunday

-1pt E/W Raphelin Jacquelin @ 40/1 - Jacquelin in decent form and quite simply is one of the better players in the field. Good price.

-1pt E/W Ross McGowan @ 50/1 - Great tournament last time out in Crann and could go low around here if he continues it

Sleeper Watch
1.5pts Brend Wiesberger Top 20 finish @ 15/2 (tipped to do well on OLBG) - Brend is a local and a representative of Fontana G.C. He finished 41st at the Johnny walker and 13th last week on the challenge tour in the dutch futures.
Book: paddypower betting
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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