Trophee du Golf de Geneve Betting

With the USPGA Championships taking control of the golfing schedule this week, there's no alternative European tour or PGA Tour event but there is a little matter of a very important event in the form of the Trophee du Golf de Geneve in Switzerland. It's a 36 strong field in a shootout to get their card off the challenge tour to have full rights to the main European tour next year, as the challenge tour winds down. Eduardo Molinari, brother of Francesco is currently in pole position.

The Course is very short at less than 6,800 yards but is still a test. Course record is 62, set by Alex Noren and fellow Swede Martin Erlandsson. It is a treelined track.

FREE Trophee du Golf de Geneve picks:

Alert: With Robert Coles running away with this tournament before being forced to retire with injury, I emailed the bookmaker I placed the bet with expressing my displeasure and they kindly refunded all my bets on the event in the form of free bets with a 1 month expiry date, so this event is now deemed void on Nic's Picks.

-1.25pts E/W Jose Filipe Lima @ 28/1 places 1-4 (skybet) Coming off the back of a top 5 last week, capable of going low and 1 of the better talents on the Challenge tour this year. Very big price considering the field is only 36 deep.

-1.25pts E/W Robert Coles E/W @ 20/1 (skybet) Also coming off the back of a top 5 last week, Coles lead the challenge tour for a while and is looking to regain top spot

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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