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Premiership/European football picks Aug 21-24

Elsewhere, UTD are looking to bounceback from their premiership defeat to Burnley against Wigan but that will be no easy feat against Martinez's men. Schalke travel to Hoffenheim in the bundesliga in a match that on paper looks a goalfest, although going by the bookmaker's odds, you wouldn't think so. Chelsea travel to a really solid looking Fulham outfit and LFC round up the premiership fixtures on monday night against the Villa looking to add to Wednesday night's victory at Anfield.Last updated 18:54 Aug 21st 09
FREE Premier League and Bundesliga Picks:

Selection:Wolfsburg vs hamburg

Bet:
Over 3.5 goals

Info: With Guerrero, Petric and Berg already hitting the net like a school of fish, and dzeko and Grafite also already up and running this year, this game spells goals

Strength: 6.5/10 Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 8/5 Book:
added @ 12:03 23rd Aug 09

Selection: Westham vs Spurs

Bet:Corner spread(buy)@ 11.2

Info: See overs bet below. Basically this match has the potential for a corner explosion

Strength:8/10 Stake:1pt spread Line: 11.2 Book:
added 17:57 22 august

Selection: Burnley vs everton

Bet:Wincast - Paterson to score/Burnley win

Info: Flying high on a wave of confidence after midweek win over UTD. Everton likely to be without 2 main centre halves and when Burnley win, generally Paterson scores. Very big price and worth a small punt.

Strength:3.25/10 Stake:1.25pts Odds:7/1 Book:paddypower betting

Selection: Treble

Bet:Arsenal, Middlesborough, Man City

Info: 3 walkovers on paper but all together the probability is about 60% but that makes a price of 8/5 a gold star bet

Strength:6.5/10 Stake:3pts Odds:2.57 Book:

Selection: Sunderland vs Blackburn

Bet:Richardson anytime scorer

Info: Been looking good early doors and takes a mean free kick. Blackburn are a dirty team and give away silly free kicks. Step up Kieran richardson. Too big a price to let go.

Strength:3.75/10 Stake:1pt Odds:4/1 Book:skybet.com

Selection: westham vs Spurs

Bet:Defoe anytime scorer

Info: In the form of his life and against his former club on a ground that gives up chances, expect Jermain to continue his streak
Strength:6.25/10 Stake:2pts Odds:2/1 Book:(Coral)

Selection: westham vs Spurs

Bet:Corners over 11

Info: Short pitch, tight ground, London Derby, usually a flux of corners at Upton Park

Strength:7/10 Stake:3pts Odds:1/1 Book:

Selection: Arsenal vs Portsmouth

Bet:Arsenal win (-1) handicap

Info: Arsenal scoring goals for fun, Pompey can't score and are basically a shambles all around

Strength:8.5/10 Stake:4pts Odds:4/6 Book:(Coral)

Selection: Hoffenheim vs Schalke

Bet:over 2.5 goals

Info: The price must be coming from the 'solid' schalke of last year but Felix magath is now in charge and that means expansive attacking football in the same mould as Hoffenheim, expect open game

Strength:7/10 Stake:3pts Odds:11/12 Book:

Tags:Football picks, European football, Premiership,

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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