Johnnie Walker championship Picks

Johnnie walker Championship Preview

Gleneagles, this years(as every years) venue for the Johnnie Walker Classic is a course loved by many a player. And what makes it better is that this year it is a course that any of them could pick up a win on. There are 2 standout players in the field - Soren Hansen who has a superb record at the Johnnie wlaker Championship and Oliver Wilson who the bookmaker's finally seem to have taken notice of, making these 2 their favourite picks this week, and so as usual I will be staying away as their prices are too short.

Looking elsewhere, it really is anybody's tournament. The next 30 or so players on the picks list are all pretty closely matched in terms of quality so I will be looking towards some pretty nice prices for my Johnnie walker championship picks.

The Gleneagles course itself plays 7,320 yards long and last year the rough was up, especially around the greens, making approach shot accuracy key. So the key here is to keep the ball in play, especially when the wind gets up it can be really difficult. Average fairways but thick rough and seriously errant teeshots will be severly punished. It is a tough test of golf and the par 5's are key to scoring here. The greens are small and slow which means players like Paul mcGinley who are not so good with the short stick, (therefore will be helped this week) could be prominent this week.

FREE expert Value picks - Johnnie Walker championship:

-0.75pts Gareth Maybin E/W @ 45/1 - Maybin has been in fine form of late. His game revolves around keeping the ball in play and he is used to windy conditions.

-0.75pts E/w Paul McGinley @ 66/1 - Paul showed promising signs last week. From tee to green he is a very competent player, the putter is his downfall but this week, with greens small and slow he won't be as troubled as he has shown before by winning here.

-0.75pts E/W Ignacio Garrido @ 55/1 - Garrido is the real form player of my picks and I can't leave him out at odds of 55/1. A top 5 and 10 last 2 outings, could make a run at it leaving a good trading price.

-0.75pts E/W Damien McGrane @ 55/1 - McGrane often flies under the radar due to his non flash personality but he is a serious competitior who knows how to win. He is a streaky player and his last 3 outings read 53rd-32nd-4th. 55/1 is good value.

Sleeper watch
As mentioned, this could be anybody's tournament,it really is wide open and a couple of guys who have been out of form this year up until last week - Bradley Dredge and Peter Hedblom could be up there contending again, especially Dredge who has a tandout record on this course. Like I said though, the Johnnie Walker championship this year is such an open tournament that I'll be focusing my picks on the bigger odds and there are 3 players who are totally flying under the bookie's radar at BIG prices. Those players are Barry Lane, Jean Baptiste Gonnet and Alistar Forsyth. I'll have a small E/W bet and a top 20 bet on each.

-0.5pts E/W Thomas Aiken 36 hole leader @ 50/1 Best prices on golf and football
-1.5pts top 10 finish @ 9/2
1 of the hardest people to predict on the Tour. He can be excellent 1 week and atrocious the next. He can even shoot -8 one DAY and +8 the NEXT! He does seem to like exposed course though and his talent can't be indoubted with 7 top 10's this year and multiple wins on the sunshine tour. Could be prominent this week.

-0.5pts E/W Barry Lane @ 300/1(Betfred)
-2pts Barry Lane Top 20 @ 12/1
Massive prices on a man who contended last week and features prominently on the gleneagles leaderboards

-0.5pts E/W Jean Baptiste Gonnet @ 125/1(sporting bet)
-2.5pts J-B gonnet Top 20 @ 9/2 Gonnet is a self confessed lover of Gleneagles. The Frenchman is a long and straight hitter and could take necessary advantage of the par 5's

-0.5pts E/W Alistar Forsyth @ 100/1
-2.5pts Alistar Forsyth top 20 @ 9/2 Alistar has not been in great form of late although he did have a half decent USPGA barring his last round but being back on home shores, with the crowd behind him, he could turn it on at a big price

Tags: Expert Johnnie walker picks, golf picks, golf betting, Johnnie walker

Winning Golf Betting Tips:

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.