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European Football/Premiership Betting Aug 14-17th

FREE Premiership and Bundesliga picks:Last updated @ 11:24 on 15th Aug 09

Selection: UTD vs B'ham

Bet: Man UTD corner handicap (-3.5) vs B'ham

Info: A -3.5 handicap for a team likely to be attacking down the flanks with the likes of the very direct Antonio Valencia for the majority of the match, at home to a team that will defend their own box for the most part. Need I say more

Strength: 8.5/10 - Stake : 4.5pts - Odds: 4/6 - Book: Best prices on golf and football

Selection: Spurs vs LFC

Bet: Wincast - LFC win/Torres to score

Info: Ridiculous value. Both come hand in hand. IE: If 1 comes in, the other is likely and to give 4/1 on this even though it is more unlikely than likely(slightly), is bordering on insanity. Expekt go 2/1 to give you and idea of just how wrong the price is.

Strength: 4.5/10 - Stake : 1.25pts - Odds:4/1 - Book: (betfred)

Selection: Double

Bet: Chelsea win vs Hull, Bayern win vs Bremen

Info: Hull have done nothing of note in the summer and should continue where they left off last season and be rolled over at the bridge. Bayern have done some serious business in the summer and are determined to win back their title whilst Bremen will have atough year having lost their key man, Diego.

Strength: 7/10 - Stake : 3pts - Odds: 2.05 - Book:

Selection: Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim

Bet: Stefan Kiessling anytime scorer

Info: Should be open attacking game and Kiessling's confidence is high after scoring last week

Strength: 4.5/10 - Stake : 1.5pts - Odds:15/8 - Book:

Selection: Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen

Bet: Wincast - Bayern win/Gomez to score

Info: Bayern desperate to get off to a good start and only a draw in matchday 1. Formidable at home.

Strength: 5.5/10 - Stake : 1.5pts - Odds:13/8 - Book: paddypower betting



Selection: Premiership matchday 1(Saturday games only)

Bet: 19 or less goals to be scored

Info: Generally the first weekend has less goals due to lack of match sharpness, mainly in front of goal. On paper there are a lot of dry looking fixtures as well on matchday 1.

Strength: 7/10 - Stake : 3pts - Odds:5/4 - Book: paddypower betting

Selection: Pompey vs Fulham

Bet: Under 2.5 goals

Info: Pompey struggling for goals. Hodgson has turned Fulham into a solid compact unit. Potentially dire game.

Strength: 7.5/10 - Stake : 3pts - Odds: 3/4 - Book:

Selection: Spurs vs LFC

Bet: corners over 10.5

Info: Small pitch, wingers like Aaron Lennon, attacking fullbacks such as Glen Johnson. Expect corners and a lot of them at White Heart Lane this year.

Strength: 7.5/10 - Stake : 3pts - Odds: 11/17 - Book: (expekt)

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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