Europa League Antepost Betting

As we all know this competition can be a bit of a lottery with supposed weak teams often going all the way to the final. this year as every year, I'll be picking a few teams E/W that I know are teams with genuine quality/great cup set up with odds way over what they should be and probably looking to trade out later in the competition.

This year 3 teams fit the bill...

Free VALUE Europa League picks:

-1pt E/W FC Twente @ 66/1 - Steve McLaren has moulded a very competent unit. Now one of the eredivise's top teams, they set up perfectly for the Europa league as a solid defensive unit with the threat of the likes of NKufo on the break. They remind me a bit like the Boro team that reached the final under McLaren.

-1pt E/W Benfica @ 33/1 - Another team that is being built up into what could become a force. With solid foundations compounded with the likes of Saviola, Gomes and Aimar up top, they are serious dark horses at a big price.

-1pt E/W Galatasary @ 40/1 - On paper look a fantastic team in terms of going forward under new manager Frank Rijkaard. Baros, Kewell, Arda Turan, with new signing's Elano and Abu Keita. Suspect at the back of course but could easily go a long way, especially with trips to turkey being so daunting for the opposition.

E/W places 1-2, 1/2 odds
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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