PREMIERSHIP FOOTBALL ANTEPOST PICKS 09/10



-2pts E/W Niclas Bendtnar top premiership goalscorer @ 80/1 places 1-4 1/4 odds(stanjames)Big things expected of Niclas this season after the departure of adebayor and he would love nothing more than to prove that Adebayor's presense is not needed at the emirates

-3.5pts E/W Sunderland Handicap Premiership winners (+39pts) places 1-4 1/4 odds @ 15/1(betfred) Winning points total will be less this year as the top teams seem to be getting worse and the others closing the gap. No pushovers this year either for the big 4 with the likes of WBA gone. Expect points to be spread around a lot more this year which means a handicap of +39 pts for a growing Sunderland team with a solid manager in Bruce, who gets the best from his players and with a strike duo of Jones and Bent with a resurgent richardson behind them, is a top top bet. Can't see it not at least making the places and doubling your money. Expect The Stadium Of Light to be a mini fortress

-3.5pts E/W Didier Drogba top handicap scorer (+6)@ 15/1 (skybet) places 1-4 odds 1/4
Serious value bet. Will be away at the African Nations but a 6 goal start on torres and no ronaldo means a potential windfall come may

-2.5pts E/W Ground with most goals: White Heart Lane places 1-3 odds 1/4 @ 20/1(skybet) Forget Old Trafford, Stamford Bridge Anfield etc and go with the value in the small tight potentially goal fuelled White heart Lane this year with crouch supplying the ammo for Defoe and a resurrgent Keano and the problems in the spurs back line

-2pts Pompey to be bottom at xmas @ 9/2 (Paddypower) Team is in dire straits at the moment and there's a lot of sorting out to do. Can see them getting off to a bad start and playing catch up.

-2.5pts E/W Darren Bent top handicap scorer(+11) 1/4 odds places 1-3 @ 22/1(paddypower)Great value for a goalscorer that will finally get a run in a side(barring injury) and Sunderland will have a good season and provide chances.

-3pts Hull to finish bottom @ 4/1(general) After flying start, seriously struggled last year and IMO they havn't improved. Altidore and Hunt are not the men to get them out of trouble.

-1.5pts tricast 1.Chelsea 2.Liverpool. 3.Man UTD @ 14/1 (general)Whilst I tipped it to be LFC's year this year Rafa Benitez has dropped another 2 clangers by letting Xavi Alonso go and by not strengthening the striking department. Chelsea havn't done much but on paper are a cut above the rest. UTD will struggle severly wthout Ronaldo

-2.5pts Man city top premier league scorers @ 8/1 (bluesquare) Ancelotti is a defensive mided manager ala Mourinho, Ronaldo has left UTD, Liverpool haven't signed any attackers, instead brought back Voronin, Arsenal play good football but fail to put the ball in the net enough, that all adds up to great value on Man City.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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