-3pts Benfica win vs Pompey @ 10/11 (bet365) As expected, Pompey produced a timid display against Guimares, likely to be more of the same against Benfica who are a superior team to Guimares

-2.5pts Arsenal win vs Atletico @ 4/5(bet365,Betfair) Arsenal a little further on in their preparations and of course have home advantage and strikers are already firing

-1.25pts Niclas Bendtnar anytime scorer vs Atletico @ 5/2(skybet) Sure to get chances vs Atletico and price nearly twice as big as some other sportsbooks

-1pt Paddy Mc Court anytime scorer vs Sunderland @ 9/2(skybet) Big value if not overly likely

-1.5pts Robin van persie to score/arsenal win vs Rangers @ 17/10 (paddypower)1 comes in, both are likely and nearly treble the price of just backing the win. make sure VP starts before placing your bet. VOID (non starter)

-1.75pts Kershakov anytime scorer vs Celtic @ 7/4(bet365) Strong Russian finisher will be thorn in celtics side all night

-1.75pts Sivasspor win vs Anderlecht @ 2/1 (exchanges) Drfited from 5/4 out to 2/1 in the space of a day. Embarrassed last week and albeit only pride to play for, value is definitely now with backing the usually strong at home Turkish outfit

-2pts double - Man UTD win vs Valencia/LFC win vs Lyn @ 2.28(coral)Both premiership teams are starting to find their fitness and a bit of structure as they near the season start

-1pt Dinamo vs Celtic draw 1-1 @ 6/1(bet365)Rarely do correct score betting but this match just screams low scoring draw and bet365 refund your correct score stakes for a 0-0

-2.5pts Poli vs Shaktar @ 4/5(VC) Shaktar know they MUST win after conceeding 2 away goals. Poli will be nervous as ever and won't know how to approach the game. Shaktar will have more space to exploit than in the home leg

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-2.5pts UTD vs Chelsea corners under 11 @ 5/6(bet365)Season opener usually played in the sun at strolling pace. Wembley a big pitch which lessens the chance of corners generally.Most other firms have the line @ 10. Main danger to this bet is Valencia

-2.5pts Man City win vs Celtic @ 7/10 (V.C, betfair) City to finish season preparations with a bang, expect good lineup. Stephen Ireland will be itching to score against his boyhood team, and probably will.

-2.5pts LFC vs Atletico over 2.5 goals @ 10/11 (betfair) should be open with a mountain of attacking talent on show

-3pts over 2.5 goals Valencia vs Arsenal @ 4/5 (general) Small pitch, 2 open attacking teams and serious striking talent - potential goalfest friendly or not

Last updated @ 14:15 08/08/2008

-2.5pts Portsmouth win(draw no bet) vs Rangers @ 17/20(hills) Home advantage, bigger players back and good news about Viduka may give them advantage after some poor form
updated 14.44 08/08/2009

-1.25 pts Modric anytime scorer vs Olympiacos @ 9/2(skybet) Crazy priceVOID(non starter)

-2.5pts Spurs win vs Olympiakos @ 4/5 (VC) Expect Spurs to have too much for them in the attacking areas, Crouch to cause trouble
updated @ 23:35 08/08/2009

-1.5pts Robbie keane anytime scorer vs Australia @ 2/1(betfair) Keane a confirmed starter and overpriced at 2/1.

Updated @ 19:15 on 12 Aug 09

Tags: Football betting, European football, preseason football picks
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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