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PRE SEASON/EUROPEAN FOOTBALL BETTING



-3pts Benfica win vs Pompey @ 10/11 (bet365) As expected, Pompey produced a timid display against Guimares, likely to be more of the same against Benfica who are a superior team to Guimares

-2.5pts Arsenal win vs Atletico @ 4/5(bet365,Betfair) Arsenal a little further on in their preparations and of course have home advantage and strikers are already firing

-1.25pts Niclas Bendtnar anytime scorer vs Atletico @ 5/2(skybet) Sure to get chances vs Atletico and price nearly twice as big as some other sportsbooks

-1pt Paddy Mc Court anytime scorer vs Sunderland @ 9/2(skybet) Big value if not overly likely



-1.5pts Robin van persie to score/arsenal win vs Rangers @ 17/10 (paddypower)1 comes in, both are likely and nearly treble the price of just backing the win. make sure VP starts before placing your bet. VOID (non starter)

-1.75pts Kershakov anytime scorer vs Celtic @ 7/4(bet365) Strong Russian finisher will be thorn in celtics side all night

-1.75pts Sivasspor win vs Anderlecht @ 2/1 (exchanges) Drfited from 5/4 out to 2/1 in the space of a day. Embarrassed last week and albeit only pride to play for, value is definitely now with backing the usually strong at home Turkish outfit

-2pts double - Man UTD win vs Valencia/LFC win vs Lyn @ 2.28(coral)Both premiership teams are starting to find their fitness and a bit of structure as they near the season start

-1pt Dinamo vs Celtic draw 1-1 @ 6/1(bet365)Rarely do correct score betting but this match just screams low scoring draw and bet365 refund your correct score stakes for a 0-0

-2.5pts Poli vs Shaktar @ 4/5(VC) Shaktar know they MUST win after conceeding 2 away goals. Poli will be nervous as ever and won't know how to approach the game. Shaktar will have more space to exploit than in the home leg

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-2.5pts UTD vs Chelsea corners under 11 @ 5/6(bet365)Season opener usually played in the sun at strolling pace. Wembley a big pitch which lessens the chance of corners generally.Most other firms have the line @ 10. Main danger to this bet is Valencia

-2.5pts Man City win vs Celtic @ 7/10 (V.C, betfair) City to finish season preparations with a bang, expect good lineup. Stephen Ireland will be itching to score against his boyhood team, and probably will.

-2.5pts LFC vs Atletico over 2.5 goals @ 10/11 (betfair) should be open with a mountain of attacking talent on show

-3pts over 2.5 goals Valencia vs Arsenal @ 4/5 (general) Small pitch, 2 open attacking teams and serious striking talent - potential goalfest friendly or not

Last updated @ 14:15 08/08/2008

-2.5pts Portsmouth win(draw no bet) vs Rangers @ 17/20(hills) Home advantage, bigger players back and good news about Viduka may give them advantage after some poor form
updated 14.44 08/08/2009

-1.25 pts Modric anytime scorer vs Olympiacos @ 9/2(skybet) Crazy priceVOID(non starter)

-2.5pts Spurs win vs Olympiakos @ 4/5 (VC) Expect Spurs to have too much for them in the attacking areas, Crouch to cause trouble
updated @ 23:35 08/08/2009

-1.5pts Robbie keane anytime scorer vs Australia @ 2/1(betfair) Keane a confirmed starter and overpriced at 2/1.

Updated @ 19:15 on 12 Aug 09

Tags: Football betting, European football, preseason football picks

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

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  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.