FREE RBS CANADIAN OPEN GOLF PICKS

The Glen Abbey course, scene of this weeks RBC Canadian Open, playing at 7,222 yards long and designed by Jack Niclaus does not really favour any particular type of player over the other. The course is average length with treelined fairways and small very undulating slick (11.5) greens that are guarded by deep bunkers mean that the premium is on accurate iron play and good positioning off the tee with the ability to read slopey greens.

FREE PGA tour golf picks - RBC Canadian Open:

-1.5pts E/W Mike Weir @ 18/1 (bet365) Home advantage and great record on the Glen Abbey course

-0.75pts E/W Steve Marino @ 33/1 (general) Great forn last week and Nooone made more birdies at the RBC Canadian Open last year than Marino. Will get breakthrough win soon.

-0.5pts E/W Jason Day @ 66/1 (betfred) Talented Aussie found some form last time out with a tie for 15th and big price on this course.

-0.5pts E/W John Mallinger @ 50/1(Stanjames) Coming fresh off a playoff loss last week, has the form and the appetite to make a good run at it. Has 4 top 6 finishes this year already so good EW value.

-0.5pts E/W Daniel Chopra @ 80/1 (stanjames) Tends to play well on courses with these types of greens and coming off the back of a top 10
edited @ 16:45 tue 21st july 2009

-0.5pte E/W Pat Perez 2nd round leader @ 66/1 - Perez just coming into form, course could suit and capable of going low early on
edited @ 10:12 tue 22st july 2009

RBC CANADIAN OPEN: Tournament match betting

-3pts Jason Day win vs Bryce Molder @ 10/11 (bet365)Molder may be suffering from burnout after recent developments, Day is a sneaky pick to do really well this week.

-3pts John Mallinger win vs Bo van Pelt @ 10/11 (general) On form Mallinger can smell victory while elated Van Pelt had a very busy week after beating Mallinger in last weeks playoff.
updated @ 11:30 23rd july 09


Tags: PGA Tour golf betting, Free golf picks, RBC Canadian Open

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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