GOLF: SAS MASTERS PICKS

The course is quite exposed although many holes wind through woodland. The rough is fair, strategically placed and redone bunkers line the course. The greens are flat and slick enough.

Home nations advantage may also be a big factor here so watch out for a scandinavian dominated leaderboard.

FREE SAS masters golf picks:

-0.5pts E/W Johan Edfors @ 40/1(bluesquare) Massive hitter, 75% GIR and home advantage coming off the back of a decent British Open. Good value price.
Has gone low on this course before

-0.5pts E/W Thomas Aiken @ 40/1(best for golf prices) BIG talent performed well in the British Open and won't be long before his breakthrough win on the European Tour after 7/14 top 10's and here and 9 wins over on the sunshine tour. Massive talent if a bit erratic but power play and shot making is needed on this course.

-1pt E/W Peter Hanson E/W @ 20/1 Defending champion, 24th last week and with home advantage. Defends the SAS masters this week on a different course in Barseback but a course he lives only 20 minutes from and has a 2nd place finish here before. He says he's pretty tired but expects the fans and adrenaline to get him through

-0.5pts E/W Alexander noren E/W @ 66/1 (stanjames) Immense talent and yet another with home advantage. Struggled with injuries this year but starting to get a bit of momentum up. Too big a price to pass up on a course right up the big hitter's alley.

-0.5pts EW Larrazabal 2nd round leader @ 125/1 - Erratic big hitter could get flying start on this track if the putter is on
edited @ 16:45 tue 21st july 2009

Tags: SAS Masters, European tour golf, Golf betting, free golf picks

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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