BRITISH OPEN BETTING - FREE GOLF PICKS

Free British Open golf picks 2009:


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Course: Turnberry. Playing at 7,207 yards par 70 may seem like a long course but being a links course it won't play as long and the shorter hitters are not at as big a disadvantage as they usually are in majors. No, the key to the Turnberry course is good decision making and accurate shot making. The rough will be up as usual in majors and no different for the British Open and as per, the winds will be blowing. Top scramblers make the best picks.

-1pt E/W Lee Westwood @ 30/1places 1-8 (Boylesports, PADDYPOWER.com) Westwood on fire last week on the European golf tour and would have won if not for a bout of illness. Rory Mcilroy says he's striking it terrific and even advises a bet!

-1pt E/W Geoff Ogilvy @ 45/1 places 1-8(Boylesports, PADDYPOWER.com) Top Scrambler likes links courses and has the head to win a British Open title.

-1pt E/W Adam Scott @ 50/1 places 1-8 (Boylesports, PADDYPOWER.com) Getting back to some form after some off course problems and at 50's, The British is a good bet for his style of play off the back of a great Loch Lomond Scottish open

-1pt E/W Mike Weir @ 100/1 places 1-8(boylesports) Massive value for a guy usually up there in majors. The reason he is is he's one of the best scramblers around and the wind won'y bother him too much at turnberry. Watch out for Weir - a top 8 placing being 20/1, great bet.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.



What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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