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Singh when you're winning - US Open (Ante Post)

The US Open is coming up and the general concensus is that 1 of the top players, the truly great players, will come to the fore and I wouldn't disagree looking at the course set up. A par 70 course playing over 7200 yards long means long approach shots and with most greens elevated, that means the longer hitters will have an advantage in being able to fire higher irons into the snooker table greensIntegrated rough running along tightish fairways means accuracy will also be a key factor but not as big a factor as the last time the Open was played at Bethpage. The course will set up as fast as you can imagine any golf course and this year will have some real risk-reward options. That will put the young aggressive players at an early disadvantage and all these factors should see a top quality shot maker with a good head on his shoulders come through. And a certain Vigay Singh would fall right into that category. Recovered from injury after the flying form of last season, and now returning to form once again, the level headed scrambler is a great ante post price of 50/1
If you're looking for a massive price outsider, look no further than his namesake - Jeev Milkha. A top top quality player with everything needed to win a major and just hitting top form now, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him making a run at the title.

-0.75pts E/W Vijay Singh @ 50/1 places 1-6(boylesports) Big hitter, top shot maker and scrambler may challenge hard

-0.5pts E/W Jeev Milkha Sing @ 150/1 places 1-6(paddypower) just coming into top form and has everything needed to bag a major

-0.5pts E/W Sergio Garcia @ 45/1 (skybet) No better player from tee to green in world golf and a great display last time the US Open was held at Bethpage

0.75pts E/W Zach Johnson @ 60/1 places 1-6 (paddypower) Massive price for probably the best player on the PGA Tour this year and with an extra place as well. The thinking must be that his lack of length off the tee will cause problems but don't be fooled, he's actually added 10 yards this season and if he plays well, his game will cope pretty well with the course set up

-0.5pts E/W Charlie Wi @ 300/1 places 1-6(paddypower) , 1 of the most ridiculous prices I've seen all year. Wi is ranked 3rd on the PGA Tour in all round ranking(the key stat for this tournament)

-0.75pts E/W Stewart Cink @ 80/1 places 1-6 (stanjames, Boylesports) Coming off the back of an 8th place finish the other week and the type of name to always look out for in a major

-1.5pts Graeme McDowell top 10 finish @ 14/1 (william hill) Almost double the price of other firms and off the back of a great finish - confidence high and streaky player

-1.5pts Robert Allenby top 10 finish @ 9/1 (stanjames) Steady Eddie showing signs of top form last week. Had the putter working pretty well and from tee to green he has the perfect game for this course

-1.5pts Stephen Ames top 20 finish @ 5/1 (stanjames) Enigma is often afeature on the leaderboard in majors

-10pts(lay) Tiger Woods top 10 finish @ 1.25(exchanges) liability = 2.5pts, If he struggles to hit the fairways, top 10 will be difficult never mind the win. Little risk/high gain.

Last edited @ 16.12pm 16th june 2009

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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